Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. An unimaginably long time. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Step 4. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). If you need to flag this entry as abusive. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Scripture says. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. On one try. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Wowser. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Are they gross exaggerations? Its maddening to see people worry so much. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Which one's bigger? Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? That's 150,000 generations. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. So what's the probability of your being born? They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Thank you, Monsignor. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. And worry and fear? That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Think of yourself as dead. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Are they gross exaggerations? It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. But let's think about this some more. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Thats 150,000 generations. This button displays the currently selected search type. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Step 3. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. June 5. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Which ones bigger? Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Just go have some fucking fun! So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. xx, Lets be social! Step 1. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. June 24, 2022 . Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Why? I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Even if they couldn't read them yet. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Me neither. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Hello there! Now things start getting interesting. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. But lets make it longer. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Then the probability of Mr. So whats the probability of your existing? So far, so good. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Based on the data from the CDC . Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. dr ali binazir odds of being born. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Step 2. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Those who are brave (foolish?) That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. You have lived your life. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Probability is a pure odd. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10.
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dr ali binazir odds of being born